• GeopoliticsHistory

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    Philosophy

    Why do US elections drag on for so long?

    Been thinking about the discrepancy between the United States campaign season vs most other western democracy’s. The us campaigns last for months and months, candidates spending literally billions on pushing themselves forward. This is in contrast to most of the rest of the world where “election season” really only lasts a few weeks. You going about your life and then it’s like “oh ok I guess there is an election in a few weeks”. The only indicator are maybe some signs around that advertise a candidate.

    One potential reason for this could be the age of US elections. Over time they may have simply gotten longer because people realised that if you campaign for longer you’re more likely to get more votes. This makes sense because US democracy is arguably one of not the oldest surviving democracy in the world. On the other hand though, if that were the case then burgeoning democracy’s should have really short campaign times compared to established ones. But this doesn’t hold up either, with places like Spain and Latin American nations current democratic systems being younger than say, France or the UK and yet still having similar campaign lengths. No. I think the problem, if we call it that, is more subtle.

    Part of the reason I believe that us election cycles last so much longer than others, is because of the timing of an election. The US is very unique in that presidential elections are held at predictable, consistent times, every 4 years, in November. This means that candidates can time everything out years in advance, planning to the minute when and where parts of the campaign will occur. In contrast, Australia for example, does have a maximum term length, but the prime minister can just call an election whenever they want, leading to unpredictability in the election timing. This means campaigns will hold out until they know when it will occur to begin, which usually only leaves them a few weeks. The reason they wait is because they don’t want to start to early or to late, to late and they give their opponents a leg up, and they don’t want to start early because of the other half of this coin.

    In most major democracy’s across the globe, campaign spending is heavily regulated, every cent, dollar, pound or euro that is spent is recorded and monitored, candidates are required to stay within a certain limit, in order to prevent, well, a situation like what is the case in the US. Yet again, America is unique in that there are basically no limits on the amount of money candidates can spend, sure the people who run the election need to know what campaigns are spending their money on, but they don’t limit it. This is the reason I believe US elections are so bloated, drawn out and just take forever. Candidates can spend as much money as they want meaning they don’t have to conserve resources the way other candidates in other democracy’s do, they just gogogo from the moment they can with nothing to stop them.

    US elections aren’t longer because the US candidates are smarter than the rest of the world, they are longer, because they can be.

    tried something a bit different here, in my head it sorta plays out like a mystery crime thing, not sure it comes across as that tho, anyway I hope you found this interesting and/or laughed because I got something wrong, either way. Bye

    Sunday September 8, 2024
  • GeopoliticsHistory

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    Games

    Hearts Of Iron 4

    So my latest hobby for the past week or so has been a grand strategy world war 2 game, hearts of iron 4 (or hoi4 if you don’t have much time). I actually bought the game ages ago cause a friend of mine had it and it looked interesting, but because it’s such a complicated mess of systems and I was overwhelmed I really only sat down and learnt how to play recently. And boy howdy have I learnt how to play (pretty poorly but we will get to that).

    (For a bit of background in the game you pick a country and you start playing as that country, waging wars, building industry, changing the government and so on. It starts you off in 1939, and because I generally have the ‘historical focuses’ option ticked, other countries will follow what they did in real life at that time) The tutorial for the game is what I started off with. It makes you pick Italy because they start off at war with Ethiopia so it gives you a chance to learn the ropes and such. Long story short, it took me 3 restarts and many desperate last stands before I finally got a hang of the combat and managed to defeat and conquer of all Abyssinia. Wasn’t a great start but I had a good grasp of the game by that point. Anyway, in my infinite wisdom (and presumably the high that came from actually winning a war) my next goal was war with Germany. This ended as you might have expected, I was overrun in a matter of months and a civil war started.

    After that stunning performance I decided to take it a bit more slowly and tried focusing a bit more on the conquering land through the games focus trees, diplomacy and decisions mechanics. This led to me to guaranteeing Austrias independence (I think I was a bit salty about the last run) to try and contain German expansion, this once again, went basically the way you would expect, Germany tried to take over, I tried to stop them, I failed. But by this point I had actually learnt a bit about combat and was doing reasonably well in defending my territory (the Germans were still advancing mind you, just slower than they otherwise would have). It probably also helped that I had managed to secure the annexation of Albania and was puppeting Yugoslavia. Either way, that run ended the same way as the last, civil war, giving up, starting over.

    After my failed attempts at running Italy I decided to try my hand at the night USSR! With a stunning industrial base and a virtually unlimited supply of troops the soviets are apparently a really good beginner country to play. In my run I tried to follow the advice of people online, I built up my factories and developed my industry ahead of the upcoming conflicts. My mistake was trying to do to many things at once, I was trying to conquer the Baltic countries, go to war with Finland, and preemptively invade Germany, all at the same time. In the end, I got bogged down in Finland for longer than I needed to, foolishly denying a peace offer, thinking I could afford to take the rest of the country, and then when Germany invaded, I had no real plan as to how to counter it and eventually just gave up. Either way, not an amazing run but I learnt never to say no to a peace offer.

    Now we get to my current run, Australia! Immediately after starting I realised that Australia didn’t have much in the way of infrastructure and factories, meaning it would be harder for me to wage war and such. I am doing my best to rectify this by just building as much as I can, developing until I can create a decent base to work on. In the meantime I started steering towards communism! Joining the Comintern and turning New Zealand into my puppet. This eventually led to a civil war, which, because of how large and empty the place is, is a real peace of cake, just kinda walk in and claim back the land. The problem arose when New Zealand joined the opposit side, dragging out the war. I ended up attempting an invasion of the southern island but I haven’t done naval invasions in the game before and ended up losing all my divisions lol.

    And that’s pretty much where I’m at rn, I’m having a blast learning how to play and all I can hope is that it doesn’t fill my mind with alternate history that I will mix up with the real stuff :p

    Thursday July 18, 2024
  • GeopoliticsHistory

    First US presidential debate

    US presidential debate just happened… and uhhhh, apparently Biden has a cold, no one can understand what he is saying, and the felon is winning…

    all I can say is that the Democrats must be freaking the fuck out.

    I didn’t manage to catch the actual debate but from a cursory reading of some news articles (most very sympathetic to the democrats, just trying to be transparent about my own biases lol) it didn’t go well for Biden, kept mumbling, staring off into the distance, rasping and letting the felon walk all over him. Not exactly an ideal combination.

    if you wonder why me, an Australian, am commenting on US polotics, I will direct you to the map below:

    Saturday June 29, 2024
  • GeopoliticsHistory

    Are we seeing the start of a new Cold War?

    Been thinking about the Cold War recently and how we are seeing the same things that occurred between the us and the ussr happen between the us and china nowadays. I was on the fence about weather to classify the geopolitics of the us and china as a ‘Cold War’ because of the lack of apparent proxy conflicts, something that characterised the original Cold War greatly. Then I realised, Russia-Ukraine is partly a proxy conflict. The us obviously supports Ukraine and, and this was the part I forgot, china is basically Russia’s economic lifeline atm and I wouldn’t be surprised if Chinese weapons were being used by Russia right now. In this sense the Russian invasion of Ukraine is a proxy conflict (not necessarily characterised by military aid, but economic aid to continue fighting as well) between the United States and China. Another characteristic of the Cold War was economic completion, which is very much starting to crop up (us bans on certain exports to China) and technological competition, for example a nuclear buildup in the 20th century, and a military base buildup in the 21st. In many ways, current events and actions by both China and the United States point towards a new Cold War, and I would argue that it is very much underway.

    P.S: sorry if this is paced kinda weirdly, im tired and cant be bothered to edit this so here is your raw geopolitical commentary

    Friday June 14, 2024
  • GeopoliticsHistory

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    Philosophy

    The horseshoe political spectrum.

    Something interesting I’ve been mulling over recently is the idea that instead of a linear left-right political spectrum, its more like a horsesoe. As you get closer to one end you actually get closer to the other and at the very end there is almost nothing differentiating you from the other side other than that small gap. You can see where this line of thinking makes sense when you look at extreme right wing facist governments (eg. Hitler, Mussolini) compared to extreme communist governments (Stalin, North Korea). Despite them being on complete opposite sides of the traditional spectrum, they more or less look the same to an outsider, authoritarian dictator, impoverished citizens, state propaganda and war-mongering. But put onto the horseshoe diogram it makes a whole lot more sense, the horseshoe model accounts for the extreme left/right much more neatly than the common one does.

    The idea is by no means perfect but its a good way of highlighting problems with the binary left/right thinking that so much of our media abides by.

    Wednesday May 8, 2024
  • GeopoliticsHistory

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    Today I learned

    idfk nobel prize money stuff

    okokokok. so. nobel prizes. alfred nobel (dude who left his fortune to start the prize stuff) left them roughly 31 million SEK (c. US$186 million, €150 million in 2008) and because the organization responsible for managing the money of the nobel prizes is basically an investment firm they have grown that ~US$186 million… INTO $560 MILLION THEY’VE MADE MONEY

    Tuesday March 12, 2024
  • GeopoliticsHistory

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    Today I learned

    Australian vs U.S gun laws

    Something interesting I learnt today: A major difference between gun regulation in Australia compared to the U.S is that in Australia it is stated in law and in the U.S it is written into the constitution. Australia’s gun laws (as they are today) originated from the National Firearms Agreement (1996), after the Port Arthur Massacre.

    This means that in Australia gun regulations are much easier to change and tweak over time as all it requires is a law to pass rather than an amendment to our constitution. This however IS the case in the U.S, where the constitution explicitly states that all Americans have a ‘Right to bear arms’. Since a full amendment is a much bigger deal politically than a simple change to a law (which happens all the time) it is a lot harder for the U.S to change its gun laws than it is for Australia.

    This is one of the reasons the U.S, to this day, still has ridiculously loose laws around guns and firearms. It would be a massive deal for them to change this, much more than it should be.

    I am actively researching WHY it is a bigger deal which leads me to actually try to figure out how Australia’s and the U.S government actually damn works but I’m going to save that for another post, probably later this week.

    Anyway bye.

    Thursday February 15, 2024
  • GeopoliticsHistory

    Cheapest excuse for a blog post

    Was going to write a thing on how simplistic the left and right polotical spectrum is but I honestly don’t know enough and couldn’t do it justice. If your interested there are plenty of YouTube videos and articles going into it but at least for now I’ll stick to history and Ideology. Anyway I’d like to let you know that I’m working on a small thing on world wars but sadly I can’t.

    Sunday December 3, 2023
  • GeopoliticsHistory

    The ideology of the Axis Powers

    THIS IS NOT AN ENDORSEMENT OF ANY IDEOLOGIES TALKED ABOUT IT IS MERELY A DISSCUSION ON THEM!

    Was thinking about this today, during WW2 the axis powers were not just refered to as all facist, you obviously had facist Italy and the other two definitely fell under thr umbrella of ‘facist’ but instead they are refered to as ‘Nazi Germany’ and ‘Imperial Japan’. I think this is interesting because it shows the slightly differing ideology between each nation. Facist Italy was just that, facist, incredibly militaristic and nationalistic but nothing really special other than wanting to re-establish the roman empire.

    Then you have Nazi Germany who were driven by, you guesed it, Nazisim. This was basically Hitlers brand of facisim that focused on not only driving Germans forward but everyone else out. Finally you have Imperial Japan which I think is the most interesting, they were undoubtedly facist (millitaristic and nationalistic) but their conquest and motivation for war was much more focused on building an empire rather than just because they were facist, sure they (at least the leadership) thought they had a divine right to win and subjugate the rest of the world but that was more justification rather than motivation, the motivation was Imperialism.

    And I think thats the key point about these names, they represent each nations individual motivation, justification and overall just the driving factor behind each of their desire for war. They all had their own brand of facisim. Anyway I thought this was interesting and worth writing something about it.

    Friday December 1, 2023
  • GeopoliticsHistory

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    Today I learned

    Follow-Up Australian republicanism and government

    So to follow up on yesterdays post I learned some more about Australian republicanism and Australian government in general. First of all is that the defeat of the voice to parliament basically means that if a republic referendum was held right after and failed it would be a huge blow, 2 back to back rejections does not look good. I also found out that Australian Prime Ministers have no term limits like thr U.S does (also the U.S’s term limits only come from an ammendment, the 10th I believe). Just some random interesting facts to prove that learning dosent happen all at once and even small things can take days to begin to learn about. (im trying to add messages and morals to the end if these and i dont know if i hate or despise it) anyway thanks for reasint.

    Thursday November 30, 2023
  • GeopoliticsHistory

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    Today I learned

    Australia and monarchy’s or republics

    ALR so I just went down a rabbit hole on Australian politics, constitution and monarchy vs republic. There was actually a referendum on whether to become a republic in 1999 but it failed, mostly because of the model of republic that was presented (the president would be chosen by parliament rather than by popular vote). After the queens death albanese stated that, out of respect, he would not push a republic referendum until at least his second term if it occurs. So it is entirely possible that in the next few years we will have a referendum on it. The only thing it would actually do is signify that Australia is no longer tied, in any way to the UK and we are fully independent. The president probably wouldn’t have any real power but be more of a person that is supposed to personify the nation and act as a diplomat. Personally I am 100% in favour of a republic and monarchys just seem like a relic from the past. Either way there was a lot more to this discussion than I thought there would be (as with all things) and I hope you found this interesting.

    Wednesday November 29, 2023
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    Movies

    Napoleon Movie

    plays spiderverse music Lets do this again…

    holla. Watched Napolean today. REALLY good at the start especially with the siege of toulon. It gets iffy after his corronation and theres this really long hit about him trying to get an heir that could have been spent on his Russian Campaign or any of the other battles. The 3rd act is really fast and obviously needed more time. They skip over basically everything after his kid (with the exception of the battle of Waterloo) and his later life is just not done justice. It feels to me like it was intended to be a 3.5-4 hour movie but they were forced to cut it down to show in theaters. One thing that I think was done well but still could have done with more time was the Battle of Waterloo, it didn’t really talk about how important it was and if you haden’t heard about it before it was kinda out of the blue but I really liked it as a battle scene. Theres one bit where the English all form squares and shoot down thre circling French cavalry that for some reason I just LOVED (but also hated because the French were litterally just going in circles like wtf do something lol). Anyway it was a very accurate movie, looked and sounded as I would expect from this kind of movie and all it needed is a longer runtime to become one of the best movies of the year. Oh also before I forget the acting was amazing, especially Pheonix just captured everything about Napolean perfectly.

    Sunday November 26, 2023
  • GeopoliticsHistory

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    Today I learned

    China, Taiwan and Mongolia

    TIL: Due to Taiwans obviously bullshit claim to the entirety of China, they also have to technically lay claim to mongolia, small parts of Russia and parts of half a dozen or so countries that border China. This is because the area they lay claim to actually originates from the previous Qing dynasty that both the ROC (Taiwan) and PRC (Mainland China) claim to be the successor to. Despite this Taiwan maintains not insignificant relations with mongolia and its all a big web of bureaucracy woven by Taiwan to not piss of China.

    EDIT: uhhhh so a few months later and ive seen kinda conflicting sources on the actual status of taiwans and chinas claim over each other and mongolia so maybe just distigard this until i can get some actual sources and evidence lol

    Sunday October 29, 2023
  • GeopoliticsHistory

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    Movies

    WW2 Documentary

    Was watching a WW2 doco today and it really was good, except for the fact that they went over litterally every batlle faught in the war. Like I get trying to be comprehensive but I don’t need to know every little scuffle between the U.S and Imperial Japan. Either way it was really good and because it was so comprehensive it went over some stuff that most things skip over, like the details of the North African battles.

    P.S does this count as a movie review…???

    Saturday October 28, 2023
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    Today I learned

    German war reparations

    TIL: Even after German reunification and more than 90 years after ww1 ended, Germany still had to pay war reparations. They only paid the final amount in 2010! This meant that they were almost done paying and then the 2008 financial crisis hit, plunging them even deeper into dept and financial instability. A cruel twist of hilarious fate. Oh and Greece borrowed a shit ton from them so that didn’t help.

    Tuesday October 24, 2023
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    Today I learned

    German reunification

    TIL: After the collapse is the Soviet Union, the British prime minister and French president were opposed to German reunification. They ‘feared’ that Germany would revert back to its imperial tendency’s and try to reclaim territory lost in WW2. This meant that in order to appease them, the new Germany had to agree to all of these treaties and amendments that basically set its borders in the most binding way possible. This still holds up today and I think it’s a really good example to show that the allies weren’t wholly good even after the war.

    Monday October 23, 2023
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    Today I learned

    AUD vs Global Iron Price

    TIL: Australia’s economy is so centered around mining that you can put a graph of iron prices next to a graph of the worth of the Australian dolar it’s almost comical. As the global iron price goes up, so does the worth of the AUD! I think its both funny and interesting that a countries currency can be so dependant on one recource, I also wonder what this implies about Australias economy on the whole.

    Sunday October 22, 2023
  • GeopoliticsHistory

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    Today I learned

    Israels Iron Dome

    TIL: Israel has an ‘iron dome’ missile defense system that can stop 90-95% of all incoming missiles. It was developed in the 2000’s in cooperation with, you guessed it, the U.S and successful stopped its first missile in 2011. It works in all weather and is currently the best, most efficient and effective missile defense system in the entire world. It’s specifically designed for a smaller state like Israel but the U.S and many other countries have actually bought iron dome systems from Israel.

    Friday October 20, 2023
  • GeopoliticsHistory

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    Today I learned

    Silicon Shield

    TIL: One of the ways Taiwan deters a Chinese invasion is by basically being the largest manufacturer of microchips in the world. This means that if the Chinese were to invade, basically the entire would would go ‘nu uh’ and intervene to allow the silicon to flow. The deterrent is therefore very aptly called Taiwans ‘Silicon Shield’.

    Sunday October 15, 2023
  • GeopoliticsHistory

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    Today I learned

    East and West Berlin

    TIL: Despite Berlin sitting inside of East Germany, during the cold war, the U.S, Britain and France all held areas in Berlin, seperate from their areas in West Germany. Suppose I should have thought of that sooner considering I hear the term east and west berlin just as often but I guess I always though they meant their country counterparts. Also it was called the Berlin wall lol, no idea how I missed this but you learn a new thing everyday.

    P.S: Instead of writing a whole blog post every day I think I might try just writing something that I learnt every day and putting it on here. If I find something interesting I’ll still write about it though. Also it has been brought to my attention that I don’t know how to write TL;DR. I will be correcting this mistake from now on.

    Friday October 13, 2023
  • GeopoliticsHistory

    middle east is back at again with another religious war

    Wednesday October 11, 2023
  • GeopoliticsHistory

    Update: The significance of the bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki on the Japanese surrender

    Alright so I’ve done some more research on how influential the bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki were to Japans surrender.

    The general consensus is that the war was going badly and the bomb was, to the Japanese leadership, really no different than a regular bombing. They were already planning on surrendering due to the impending invasion by the U.S and USSR. The bomb simply provided an easy excuse that they could point to, in order to cover up the fact that they were already loosing the war.

    It meant that they could preserve the ‘perfect emperor’ façade because it wouldn’t have been his fault, it was the allies that had suddenly created this magical bomb that forced the Japanese to surrender! Basically they were power hungry dictators.

    So I was wrong about not believing that the Japanese leadership saw the bombings as ‘just another’ bombing. They were willing to keep being bombed if it meant preserving their power and pride.

    TLDR; The war was going badly and the bombings were a good excuse for Japanese leadership to ignore their failures during the war.

    Monday October 9, 2023
  • GeopoliticsHistory

    The actual importance of the U.S’s bombing of Hiroshima and Nagasaki

    While researching U.S military spending I came across an article arguing that the common narrative that Japan only surrendered because of the nuclear bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki is not entirely accurate.

    Article Link

    It has some interesting points but it mainly boils down to 2 main things (I’ll explain them and then give my opinion).

    The first thing they mention is how it happened at a time where every other day, a Japanese city was being bombed. This caused Japan to see the nuking on Hiroshima (and 3 days later Nagasaki) as more or less just an upgraded and slightly more powerful attack, and therefore weren’t going to surrender just because something that was already going on had slightly changed.

    The second reason is the Soviet Unions plans to invade Japan from the north, combined with Britain and the U.S’s invasion from the south was looking to be increasingly devastating for Japan. The USSR has only recently declared war on Japan and had already proven that they could easily sweep into and take critical Japanese city’s. For Japan, a joint Allied invasion from the north and south was un-winnable.

    One of the reasons that people see the bombings as the final stroke is because the Japanese surrender came 6 days after the bombings and it seems easy to connect to two. Something the article points out though is that the full report on the Hiroshima bombing didn’t reach the Japanese leadership until the day after they surrendered.

    It then goes on to explain the reasoning for each countries pushing the idea of the nukes being the deciding factor.

    OPINION PART THAT I WILL PROBABLY REGRET ONE DAY STARTS HERE:

    I think the bombings did have an impact on the surrender. The article talks about the statistics of how much each bombing destroyed of each respective city but I think this is a bit misleading. If you look at how many people died in the Hiroshima bombings and compare that to the other, standard bombings, the nuclear bomb did far more actual damage.

    I also think implying that the report not getting to the leadership until after they surrendered meaning that they had no idea that it happened is a bit weird. They would definitely had gotten some reports if a city was destroyed, even if it was a common occurrence.

    I do agree however that it wasn’t as big a part of the decision as most people make it out to be. It was certainly a part of why the surrendered, but the impending invasion by England, the U.S, and most importantly the Soviets would have been the main reasoning.

    I would like to state that I have no credentials to be making these opinions but this is my blog and I make the rules ‘round here.

    I recommend you read the article and I will probably read more on the topic and might write another small opinion piece on it when I’m more informed.

    Thanks for reading.

    Sunday October 8, 2023
  • GeopoliticsHistory

    Researching U.S military spending

    Been researching why the U.S.A has such a large military nowadays. It’s actually really interesting, it covers topics like geography and the philosophy of the U.S. I am in no way qualified to write anything definitive but I’m writing a summary that I might put on here. I’ll be like a timeline/ideological/geographical rundown of all the reasons behind the seemingly excessive U.S military spending.

    Disclaimer: I am 15 years old and have no idea what I’m doing. This will more be like what I’ve learnt rather than an informative piece.

    Friday October 6, 2023